19 Oct · 18:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AI
🏓Akito Itagaki
ELO 1541
FormWLLWW
73%Win chancemodel fair 1.37Itagaki
MN
🏓Makoto Nogami
ELO 1401
FormLLLWW
73%
27%
Fair odds · Itagaki
Model 73% · 1.37vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 60%Total ~70 pts
3-0
33%
3-1
27%
3-2
13%
1-3
10%
2-3
9%
Elo Gap+140
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+140)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)