26 Oct · 16:30 MEZElite · Strong Favorite
CR
🏓Christian Reichelt
ELO 1488
FormLWL
74%Win chancemodel fair 1.35Taher
MT
🏓Mohammad Mousavi Taher
ELO 1633
FormWWLLW
26%
74%
Fair odds · Taher
Model 74% · 1.35vsMarket 84% · 1.19· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 61%Total ~74 pts
0-3
33%
1-3
27%
2-3
13%
3-1
10%
3-2
9%
Elo Gap+145
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+145)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)