9 Nov · 12:00 MEZElite · Strong Favorite
SH
🏓Sven Happek
ELO 1285
FormLLLWW
86%Win chancemodel fair 1.16Pellny
TP
🏓Thomas Pellny
ELO 1533
FormWLLWW
14%
86%
Fair odds · Pellny
Model 86% · 1.16vsMarket 84% · 1.19· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 74%Total ~68 pts
0-3
48%
1-3
26%
2-3
12%
3-2
6%
3-1
4%
Elo Gap+248
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+248)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)