9 Nov · 11:30 MEZMedium · Model Lean
JL
🏓Jaime Lama
ELO 1417
FormLLWLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Lama
PK
🏓Pylyp Koloidenko
ELO 1386
FormLLLWW
56%
44%
Fair odds · Lama
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~72 pts
3-0
21%
3-1
20%
1-3
16%
0-3
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+31
H2H8-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-3)