9 Nov · 10:00 MEZElite · Strong Favorite
JL
🏓Jaime Lama
ELO 1417
FormLLWLW
72%Win chancemodel fair 1.39Lama
SH
🏓Sven Happek
ELO 1285
FormLLLWW
72%
28%
Fair odds · Lama
Model 72% · 1.39vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 59%Total ~70 pts
3-0
33%
3-1
27%
3-2
13%
1-3
10%
2-3
9%
Elo Gap+132
H2H5-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+132)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-4)