9 Nov · 13:30 MEZElite · Strong Favorite
SH
🏓Sven Happek
ELO 1285
FormLLLWW
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Koloidenko
PK
🏓Pylyp Koloidenko
ELO 1386
FormLLLWW
33%
67%
🌟Koloidenko stays under total as favourite 64% (61)
Fair odds · Koloidenko
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 53%Total ~70 pts
0-3
29%
1-3
24%
2-3
15%
3-1
13%
3-2
10%
Elo Gap+101
H2H4-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+101)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-1)