26 Jun · 17:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MP
🇨🇿Marcel Proksa
ELO 1400
FormLWWLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Derco
MD
🇨🇿Michal Derco
ELO 1400
FormWLWLL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Derco
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 31%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
19%
3-1
19%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+0
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.