MD
Michal Derco
FormWWLWL
🔥 2 win streak1455
Elo Rating
#558
Rank
52.1%
Win Rate
Michal Derco is ranked #558 in Czech Liga Pro with an Elo of 1455 (peak 1491, lowest 1379). Across 96 tracked matches — a 52.1% win rate. Currently on a 2-match winning streak.
Elo Trend
Last 40 matches
Current 1455Peak 1491Lowest 1379Tracked 96
Cover splits
How often this player covered the closing line — overall, then split by favourite / underdog. Historical record against real bookmaker lines, not a tip. Green = reliable cover, amber = soft.
Set handicapoverall
57%34/60 covered
as favourite
48%13/27
as underdog
64%21/33
Points handicapoverall
60%9/15 covered
as favourite
56%5/9
as underdog
67%4/6
Total pointsover / under · 60
47%over53%under
Total setsover / under · 40
70%over30%under
Match shape · after 2 sets
How matches usually stand after two sets, and what he makes of it — from 96 completed matches. Descriptive, not a tip.
33% leads 2–040% level 1–127% trails 0–2
Holds 2–0
91%n=32
wins after leading 2–0
Wins the decider
53%n=38
wins after 1–1
Comeback 0–2
4%n=26
wins after trailing 0–2
Line history
Past matches vs the closing line — set & points handicap (covered = W/L), total points and total sets (O/U). Real lines, not tips.
| Match | Set HC | Pts HC | Total | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josef Toth3-221 Sep 09:30 | -1.5 L | -3.5 W | 75.5→99 O | 3.5 O |
| Alois Kanak3-121 Sep 08:00 | +1.5 W | -2.5 W | 76.5→67 U | 3.5 O |
| Josef Toth1-321 Sep 07:30 | -1.5 L | -5.5 L | 74.5→81 O | 3.5 O |
| Zdenek Luksa3-021 Sep 06:00 | -1.5 W | -5.5 W | 74.5→52 U | 3.5 U |
| Vaclav Rybar1-314 Sep 09:00 | -1.5 L | -1.5 L | 75.5→77 O | 3.5 O |
| Vaclav Rybar3-114 Sep 08:30 | -1.5 W | +1.5 W | 76.5→71 U | 3.5 O |
| Matej Levicky2-314 Sep 07:30 | +1.5 W | +1.5 L | 75.5→91 O | 3.5 O |
| Michal Kaspar1-314 Sep 06:30 | +1.5 L | -0.5 L | 76.5→78 O | 3.5 O |
| Tomas Navrat3-120 Aug 21:14 | +1.5 W | +0.5 W | 76.5→70 U | 3.5 O |
| Michal Blaha2-320 Aug 20:30 | +1.5 W | +5.5 W | 74.5→101 O | 3.5 O |
| Tomas Navrat2-320 Aug 19:00 | +1.5 W | +0.5 W | 76.5→102 O | 3.5 O |
| Vaclav Rybar3-120 Aug 18:00 | +1.5 W | -1.5 W | 76.5→73 U | 3.5 O |
| David Vavrecka3-116 Aug 09:00 | -1.5 W | +2.5 W | 76.5→70 U | 3.5 O |
| David Vavrecka3-116 Aug 08:30 | +1.5 W | -2.5 W | 76.5→76 U | 3.5 O |
| Michal Blaha1-316 Aug 07:00 | +1.5 L | +9.5 L | 74.5→77 O | 3.5 O |
| Petr Banot0-316 Aug 06:00 | +1.5 L | +3.5 L | 75.5→53 U | 3.5 U |
| David Vavrecka3-110 Aug 13:00 | +1.5 W | -1.5 W | 75.5→75 U | 3.5 O |
| Petr Banot1-310 Aug 12:00 | +1.5 L | -0.5 L | 76.5→65 U | 3.5 O |
| Vaclav Rybar3-210 Aug 11:00 | +1.5 W | +1.5 W | 76.5→96 O | 3.5 O |
| David Vavrecka0-310 Aug 10:30 | +1.5 L | -1.5 L | 76.5→62 U | 3.5 U |
Overall cover record
Set HC: 34/60 · 57%
Pts HC: 9/15 · 60%
Totals: 28 Over · 32 Under · 47% over
Total sets: 28 Over · 12 Under · 70% over
Prediction History
Past matches with the model's predicted win probability and the real result.
✓51%Won 3-2✓54%Won 3-1✕52%Lost 1-3✓52%Won 3-0✕49%Lost 1-3✓48%Won 3-1✕51%Lost 2-3✕53%Lost 1-3✓52%Won 3-1✕47%Lost 2-3✕53%Lost 2-3✓49%Won 3-1✓55%Won 3-1✓50%Won 3-1✕53%Lost 1-3✕49%Lost 0-3✓55%Won 3-1✕50%Lost 1-3✓49%Won 3-2✕50%Lost 0-3✓51%Won 3-0✓51%Won 3-0✓52%Won 3-0✓58%Won 3-2✓50%Won 3-0✓50%Won 3-1✓48%Won 3-1✓46%Won 3-2✓52%Won 3-1✓55%Won 3-0
vs Josef Toth
21 Sep · 09:30 UTC
vs Alois Kanak
21 Sep · 08:00 UTC
vs Josef Toth
21 Sep · 07:30 UTC
vs Zdenek Luksa
21 Sep · 06:00 UTC
vs Vaclav Rybar
14 Sep · 09:00 UTC
vs Vaclav Rybar
14 Sep · 08:30 UTC
vs Matej Levicky
14 Sep · 07:30 UTC
vs Michal Kaspar
14 Sep · 06:30 UTC
vs Tomas Navrat
20 Aug · 21:14 UTC
vs Michal Blaha
20 Aug · 20:30 UTC
vs Tomas Navrat
20 Aug · 19:00 UTC
vs Vaclav Rybar
20 Aug · 18:00 UTC
vs David Vavrecka
16 Aug · 09:00 UTC
vs David Vavrecka
16 Aug · 08:30 UTC
vs Michal Blaha
16 Aug · 07:00 UTC
vs Petr Banot
16 Aug · 06:00 UTC
vs David Vavrecka
10 Aug · 13:00 UTC
vs Petr Banot
10 Aug · 12:00 UTC
vs Vaclav Rybar
10 Aug · 11:00 UTC
vs David Vavrecka
10 Aug · 10:30 UTC
vs Zdenek Luksa
02 Aug · 09:30 UTC
vs Zdenek Luksa
02 Aug · 08:00 UTC
vs Ivan Kolenciak
02 Aug · 07:00 UTC
vs Jiri Foltynek
02 Aug · 06:30 UTC
vs Josef Toth
30 Jul · 09:30 UTC
vs Ivan Kolenciak
30 Jul · 08:00 UTC
vs Josef Toth
30 Jul · 07:30 UTC
vs Miroslav Stolba
30 Jul · 06:00 UTC
vs Jiri Foltynek
20 Jul · 13:30 UTC
vs Jiri Foltynek
20 Jul · 12:00 UTC