20 Jul · 14:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JF
🇨🇿Jiri Foltynek
ELO 1372
FormWWWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Derco
MD
🇨🇿Michal Derco
ELO 1385
FormWLLLL
49%
51%
🌟Foltynek covers set handicap as underdog 65% (20)
Fair odds · Derco
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 64% · 1.56· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+13
H2H5-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.