2 Aug · 10:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
ZL
🇨🇿Zdenek Luksa
ELO 1433
FormLWWWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Derco
MD
🇨🇿Michal Derco
ELO 1440
FormWWWWW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Derco
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+7
H2H0-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.