05 Oct · 12:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MD
🇨🇿Michal Derco
ELO 1423
2-3Final setsPalmi won
IP
🇨🇿Ivo Palmi
ELO 1373
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Derco at 51%. The actual result was Ivo Palmi 2-3 — the underdog won.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Michal Derco favoured — closing 1.51
Total 75.5
95 points played
Set handicap
Michal Derco −1.5 sets
Points handicap
Michal Derco −4.5 points
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.33
Exact score
market priced 2-3 at close
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Michal Derco is favoured to win, below means Ivo Palmi.
▲ Michal Dercopre 55% → final 23%
Ivo Palmi ▼
Biggest swing 70 ptsPalmi recovered from 7%72 points · 5 games