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25 Oct · 18:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MDMichal Derco
🇨🇿Michal Derco
ELO 1458
3-0Final setsDerco won
RARadek Adamczyk
🇨🇿Radek Adamczyk
ELO 1446
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Adamczyk at 50%. The actual result was Michal Derco 3-0 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Michal Derco favoured — closing 1.29
Upset
Total 74.5
57 points played
Under
Set handicap
Michal Derco −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Michal Derco −7.5 points
No cover
Total sets 3.5
closing 2.55
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
3.08
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Michal Derco is favoured to win, below means Radek Adamczyk.

▲ Michal Dercopre 46% → final 95%
Radek Adamczyk ▼
Biggest swing 50 pts56 points · 3 games