8 Nov · 13:00 MEZLow · Coin Flip
RA
🇨🇿Radek Adamczyk
ELO 1428
FormWLLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Derco
MD
🇨🇿Michal Derco
ELO 1446
FormWLLLL
49%
51%
Fair odds · Derco
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+18
H2H3-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.