25 Jun · 13:00 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
AK
🇺🇦Alina Kurtenko
ELO 1581
FormWLLLL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Ovriakh
AO
🇺🇦Alina Ovriakh
ELO 1662
FormLLLWW
40%
60%
Fair odds · Ovriakh
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
1-3
23%
2-3
20%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+81
H2H6-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+81)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-3)