Setka Cup Women Predictions

A transparent Elo model for Setka Cup Women table tennis (Ukraine) · updated 11 h ago

Setka Cup Czech Liga Pro TT Elite Series TT Cup Setka Cup Women Challenger Series

Model Track RecordCalibration: Good

Walk-forward · last 11.834 graded predictions

64.9%Pick Accuracy

0.220Brier Score

0.631Log Loss

★ Featured Match▮▮▮ High Confidence

23 Jun · 09:05 UTCTip: Pashchenko

🇺🇦Nadiia Harmash

ELO 1323

FormWLLWW

71%AI Win ChanceStrong Favorite · Pashchenko

🇺🇦Polina Pashchenko

ELO 1498

FormLLWWW

29%

71%

Expected WinnerPashchenko

Elo Advantage+175

ConfidenceElite

Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~75 pts

1-3

27%

0-3

23%

2-3

21%

3-2

13%

3-1

11%

Why this pick? · 1 reason

✓Higher Elo rating (+175)

Full prediction page →

Recent Results

Every prediction scored against the real result — nothing hidden.

66%

131 of last 200

✓

Margarita Gordeets vs Anna Gorchakova

21 Jun · 19:35 UTC

pick Gordeets 69%

3-1

Anastasiia Volgina vs Oleksandra Ivchenko

Viktoria Shevchuk vs Anna Lapa

Anna Gorchakova vs Oleksandra Ivchenko

Anna Lapa vs Margarita Gordeets

21 Jun · 17:35 UTC

pick Gordeets 61%

2-3

Viktoria Shevchuk vs Anastasiia Volgina

Anna Lapa vs Oleksandra Ivchenko

Anastasiia Volgina vs Anna Gorchakova

Viktoria Shevchuk vs Margarita Gordeets

21 Jun · 15:35 UTC

pick Shevchuk 51%

3-2

Anna Lapa vs Anastasiia Volgina

21 Jun · 15:05 UTC

pick Volgina 63%

3-2

Margarita Gordeets vs Oleksandra Ivchenko

Viktoria Shevchuk vs Anna Gorchakova

21 Jun · 14:05 UTC

pick Shevchuk 66%

3-0

Anastasiia Volgina vs Margarita Gordeets

21 Jun · 13:35 UTC

pick Gordeets 55%

3-1

Anna Lapa vs Anna Gorchakova

21 Jun · 13:05 UTC

pick Lapa 57%

1-3

Viktoria Shevchuk vs Oleksandra Ivchenko

21 Jun · 12:35 UTC

pick Shevchuk 55%

1-3

Anna Rzhevska vs Yana Mykhailyk

Polina Pashchenko vs Svitlana Yureneva

Olga Melnik vs Yana Mykhailyk

Anna Rzhevska vs Polina Pashchenko

Olga Melnik vs Svitlana Yureneva

21 Jun · 08:35 UTC

pick Yureneva 82%

0-3

Accuracy Over Time

Stable numbers across windows mean the model isn't drifting. Sample size shown so equal rates aren't misread.

Last 7 days

67.7%

n = 96Brier 0.196

Last 30 days

65.1%

n = 378Brier 0.216

All time

64.9%

n = 11.834Brier 0.220

Calibration

Predicted vs actual win rate per band — close numbers mean the probabilities are honest.

BandExpectedActualn

50–55%52.9%52.7%2102

55–60%57.5%59.0%2504

60–65%62.4%62.9%2099

65%+73.3%73.7%5129

Reliability

On the diagonal = honest. Above it = the model was too cautious, below = overconfident.

Prediction Distribution

Where today's win probabilities land — the model stays honest, not overconfident.

50–55%

20%

55–60%

20%

60–65%

20%

65%+

40%

Elo Leaderboard

The strongest Setka Cup players by live Elo rating.

Anastasia Dymytrenko

WWWWW

35M1846

Iolanta Yevtodii

WWWWW

345M1814

Nataliia Plokhotniuk

WLLWW

347M1777

Iryna Vasiv

LWWLW

255M1735

Olena Pentiuk

LLWWW

495M1735

Kateryna Bondarenko

WWLWW

69M1733

Alina Ovriakh

LWWLL

39M1711

Karina Zharkova

WWWWW

30M1706

Iryna Aseeva

WLLLW

1001M1667

Mariia Volosianska

WWWWW

234M1655

Olena Nalisnykovska

LLLLW

49M1636

Anastasiia Baryliak

LLLLW

275M1635

Roksolana Budnyk

LLLWL

351M1632

Anastasiia Buryh

WWWWL

140M1628

Anastasiia Volgina

WWWLW

1355M1617

Alina Kurtenko

WWLLL

769M1613

Viktoria Shevchuk

WLWWL

173M1611

Margarita Gordeets

WWLLL

1135M1604

Oleksandra Ivchenko

LWWWW

1249M1602

Hanna Holiak

WWLWL

229M1592

Confidence tiersElite65%+High60–65%Medium55–60%Low<55%· win probability of the favourite

How it works. An Elo model trained on real Setka Cup Women results estimates each player's strength; the win probability follows from the rating gap, temperature-calibrated against past outcomes. No market odds, no value claims — just transparent model output and its measured accuracy.

12.273 matches · 69 players tracked since 16 Aug 2023.

DeuceLab · auto-generated · Data via BetsAPI · for entertainment, not betting advice · About & Methodology