25 Jun · 12:00 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
AR
🇺🇦Anna Rzhevska
ELO 1565
FormLWWWL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Ovriakh
AO
🇺🇦Alina Ovriakh
ELO 1662
FormLLLWW
38%
62%
Fair odds · Ovriakh
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 75% · 1.33· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~75 pts
1-3
23%
2-3
20%
0-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+97
H2H4-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+97)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-1)