25 Jun Β· 11:00 MESZElite Β· Strong Favorite
IY
πΊπ¦Iolanta Yevtodii
ELO 1829
FormWWWWW
78%Win chancemodel fair 1.28Yevtodii
AK
πΊπ¦Alina Kurtenko
ELO 1581
FormWLLLL
78%
22%
Fair odds Β· Yevtodii
Model 78% Β· 1.28vsMarket 79% Β· 1.26Β· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model β we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav β1.5 58%Total ~75 pts
3-1
29%
3-0
28%
3-2
20%
2-3
10%
1-3
8%
Elo Gap+248
H2H31-4
Why this call
Why this pick? Β· 3 reasons
- βHigher Elo rating (+248)
- βBetter recent form (5-0)
- βWinning head-to-head (31-4)