25 Jun · 12:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
IY
🇺🇦Iolanta Yevtodii
ELO 1829
FormWWWWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Yevtodii
NP
🇺🇦Nataliia Plokhotniuk
ELO 1790
FormWWWLW
55%
45%
Fair odds · Yevtodii
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
20%
2-3
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+39
H2H37-20
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Winning head-to-head (37-20)