25 Jun · 07:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AK
🇺🇦Alina Kurtenko
ELO 1581
FormWLLLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Kurtenko
SY
🇺🇦Svitlana Yureneva
ELO 1541
FormWWLWW
55%
45%
Fair odds · Kurtenko
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 76% · 1.31· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
20%
2-3
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+40
H2H74-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+40)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (74-10)