25 Jun · 10:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
NP
🇺🇦Nataliia Plokhotniuk
ELO 1790
FormWWWLW
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Plokhotniuk
AO
🇺🇦Alina Ovriakh
ELO 1662
FormLLLWW
66%
34%
Fair odds · Plokhotniuk
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~75 pts
3-1
25%
3-2
21%
3-0
20%
2-3
15%
1-3
13%
Elo Gap+128
H2H6-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+128)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-3)