25 Jun · 13:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
SY
🇺🇦Svitlana Yureneva
ELO 1541
FormWWLWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Rzhevska
AR
🇺🇦Anna Rzhevska
ELO 1565
FormLWWWL
47%
53%
Fair odds · Rzhevska
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 42% · 2.37· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+24
H2H27-65
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.