25 Jun · 09:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
NP
🇺🇦Nataliia Plokhotniuk
ELO 1790
FormWWWLW
74%Win chancemodel fair 1.35Plokhotniuk
AK
🇺🇦Alina Kurtenko
ELO 1581
FormWLLLL
74%
26%
Fair odds · Plokhotniuk
Model 74% · 1.35vsMarket 76% · 1.32· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 54%Total ~75 pts
3-1
28%
3-0
26%
3-2
20%
2-3
12%
1-3
9%
Elo Gap+209
H2H22-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+209)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (22-3)