25 Jun · 10:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AK
🇺🇦Alina Kurtenko
ELO 1581
FormWLLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Kurtenko
AR
🇺🇦Anna Rzhevska
ELO 1565
FormLWWWL
52%
48%
Fair odds · Kurtenko
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+16
H2H21-22
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.