26 Jun · 15:35 MESZLow · Coin Flip
AV
🇺🇦Anastasiia Volgina
ELO 1603
FormWWWLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Ivchenko
OI
🇺🇦Oleksandra Ivchenko
ELO 1607
FormLWWWW
50%
50%
🌟Volgina covers set handicap as underdog 68% (47)
Fair odds · Ivchenko
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
19%
3-1
19%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+4
H2H117-112
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.