Nadiia Harmash vs Polina Pashchenko — Setka Cup Women

← Setka Cup Women predictions

26 Jun · 04:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed

🇺🇦Nadiia Harmash

ELO 1249

3-1Final setsHarmash won

🇺🇦Polina Pashchenko

ELO 1465

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Pashchenko at 76%. The actual result was Nadiia Harmash 3-1 — the underdog won.

Nadiia Harmash — profile →Polina Pashchenko — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Pashchenko favoured

Upset

Total 71.5

82 points played

Over

Set handicap

Pashchenko −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Pashchenko −9.5 points

No cover

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Nadiia Harmash is favoured to win, below means Polina Pashchenko.

▲ Nadiia Harmashpre 20% → final 100%

Polina Pashchenko ▼

Biggest swing 83 ptsHarmash recovered from 17%72 points · 4 games