26 Jun · 08:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
YM
🇺🇦Yana Mykhailyk
ELO 1389
FormLWWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Kolbasenko
OK
🇺🇦Olha Kolbasenko
ELO 1433
FormWWWWL
44%
56%
🌟Kolbasenko stays under total as favourite 63% (60)
Fair odds · Kolbasenko
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
20%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+44
H2H43-18
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+44)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (43-18)