26 Jun · 19:05 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
AL
🇺🇦Anna Lapa
ELO 1492
FormLLLWL
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Volgina
AV
🇺🇦Anastasiia Volgina
ELO 1603
FormWWWLW
36%
64%
🌟Volgina stays under total as favourite 63% (57)
Fair odds · Volgina
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 43%Total ~77 pts
1-3
24%
2-3
21%
0-3
19%
3-2
15%
3-1
13%
Elo Gap+111
H2H101-61
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+111)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (101-61)