26 Jun · 14:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AL
🇺🇦Anna Lapa
ELO 1492
FormLLLWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Lapa
AG
🇺🇦Anna Gorchakova
ELO 1439
FormLLLLW
57%
43%
Fair odds · Lapa
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
20%
2-3
17%
1-3
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+53
H2H17-24
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+53)