26 Jun · 20:35 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
AL
🇺🇦Anna Lapa
ELO 1492
FormLLLWL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Lapa
OB
🇺🇦Olena Bondareva
ELO 1396
FormLLLLL
62%
38%
🌟Bondareva stays under total as underdog 63% (46)
Fair odds · Lapa
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 72% · 1.38· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~76 pts
3-1
23%
3-2
20%
3-0
18%
2-3
16%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+96
H2H37-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+96)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (37-8)