26 Jun · 10:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OK
🇺🇦Olha Kolbasenko
ELO 1433
FormWWWWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Pashchenko
PP
🇺🇦Polina Pashchenko
ELO 1497
FormWLLWL
42%
58%
Fair odds · Pashchenko
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
20%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
3-1
16%
Elo Gap+64
H2H6-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+64)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-2)