26 Jun · 18:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OB
🇺🇦Olena Bondareva
ELO 1396
FormLLLLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Gorchakova
AG
🇺🇦Anna Gorchakova
ELO 1439
FormLLLLW
45%
55%
⚡ Cover lean · Gorchakova🌟Gorchakova stays under total as favourite 76% (34)
Fair odds · Gorchakova
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 72% · 1.38· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
20%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+43
H2H20-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+43)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (20-5)