26 Jun · 21:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OI
🇺🇦Oleksandra Ivchenko
ELO 1607
FormLWWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Gordeets
MG
🇺🇦Margarita Gordeets
ELO 1629
FormWWLLL
47%
53%
🌟Gordeets stays under total as favourite 66% (91)
Fair odds · Gordeets
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+22
H2H86-98
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.