27 Jun · 19:05 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
AL
🇺🇦Anna Lapa
ELO 1499
FormWLWLW
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Ivchenko
OI
🇺🇦Oleksandra Ivchenko
ELO 1607
FormLWLWW
37%
63%
Fair odds · Ivchenko
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 43%Total ~77 pts
1-3
24%
2-3
21%
0-3
19%
3-2
15%
3-1
13%
Elo Gap+108
H2H104-38
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+108)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (104-38)