27 Jun · 20:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AL
🇺🇦Anna Lapa
ELO 1499
FormWLWLW
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Lapa
AH
🇺🇦Anastasiia Hordynska-Sheiko
ELO 1362
FormLWWLL
66%
34%
Fair odds · Lapa
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~77 pts
3-1
25%
3-2
21%
3-0
20%
2-3
14%
1-3
12%
Elo Gap+137
H2H79-57
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+137)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (79-57)