27 Jun · 20:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MG
🇺🇦Margarita Gordeets
ELO 1637
FormWWLWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Gordeets
AV
🇺🇦Anastasiia Volgina
ELO 1614
FormWWWWL
53%
47%
🌟Volgina covers set handicap as underdog 68% (47)
Fair odds · Gordeets
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+23
H2H98-101
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.