27 Jun · 17:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AL
🇺🇦Anna Lapa
ELO 1499
FormWLWLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Lapa
AG
🇺🇦Anna Gorchakova
ELO 1431
FormLLLLL
58%
42%
Fair odds · Lapa
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
20%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
1-3
15%
Elo Gap+68
H2H18-24
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+68)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)