27 Jun · 16:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AL
🇺🇦Anna Lapa
ELO 1499
FormWLWLW
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Gordeets
MG
🇺🇦Margarita Gordeets
ELO 1637
FormWWLWL
33%
67%
🌟Gordeets stays under total as favourite 66% (91)
Fair odds · Gordeets
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~77 pts
1-3
25%
2-3
21%
0-3
21%
3-2
14%
3-1
12%
Elo Gap+138
H2H77-46
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+138)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (77-46)