27 Jun · 15:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
OI
🇺🇦Oleksandra Ivchenko
ELO 1607
FormLWLWW
71%Win chancemodel fair 1.41Ivchenko
AG
🇺🇦Anna Gorchakova
ELO 1431
FormLLLLL
71%
29%
Fair odds · Ivchenko
Model 71% · 1.41vsMarket 73% · 1.37· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~76 pts
3-1
27%
3-0
23%
3-2
21%
2-3
13%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+176
H2H37-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+176)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (37-11)