27 Jun · 18:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OI
🇺🇦Oleksandra Ivchenko
ELO 1607
FormLWLWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Gordeets
MG
🇺🇦Margarita Gordeets
ELO 1637
FormWWLWL
46%
54%
🌟Gordeets stays under total as favourite 66% (91)
Fair odds · Gordeets
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+30
H2H87-98
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.