27 Jun · 21:05 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OI
🇺🇦Oleksandra Ivchenko
ELO 1607
FormLWLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Volgina
AV
🇺🇦Anastasiia Volgina
ELO 1614
FormWWWWL
49%
51%
🌟Volgina stays under total as favourite 63% (57)
Fair odds · Volgina
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
19%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+7
H2H109-121
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.