28 Jun · 16:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
OI
🇺🇦Oleksandra Ivchenko
ELO 1584
FormLWLLL
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Ivchenko
AG
🇺🇦Anna Gorchakova
ELO 1433
FormLWLLW
68%
32%
Fair odds · Ivchenko
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 72% · 1.38· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~76 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
22%
3-2
21%
2-3
14%
1-3
12%
Elo Gap+151
H2H37-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+151)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (37-12)