28 Jun · 20:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MG
🇺🇦Margarita Gordeets
ELO 1622
FormWLWLL
72%Win chancemodel fair 1.39Gordeets
AG
🇺🇦Anna Gorchakova
ELO 1433
FormLWLLW
72%
28%
🌟Gordeets stays under total as favourite 66% (91)
Fair odds · Gordeets
Model 72% · 1.39vsMarket 75% · 1.33· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~75 pts
3-1
27%
3-0
24%
3-2
21%
2-3
12%
1-3
10%
Elo Gap+189
H2H47-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+189)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (47-8)