28 Jun · 21:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AV
🇺🇦Anastasiia Volgina
ELO 1605
FormWWLWL
70%Win chancemodel fair 1.43Volgina
AG
🇺🇦Anna Gorchakova
ELO 1433
FormLWLLW
70%
30%
🌟Volgina stays under total as favourite 63% (57)
Fair odds · Volgina
Model 70% · 1.43vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~76 pts
3-1
27%
3-0
23%
3-2
21%
2-3
13%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+172
H2H32-20
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+172)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (32-20)