28 Jun · 18:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AV
🇺🇦Anastasiia Volgina
ELO 1605
FormWWLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Gordeets
MG
🇺🇦Margarita Gordeets
ELO 1622
FormWLWLL
48%
52%
🌟Volgina covers set handicap as underdog 68% (47)
Fair odds · Gordeets
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+17
H2H98-102
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.