28 Jun · 19:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
OB
🇺🇦Olena Bondareva
ELO 1378
FormLLLLW
74%Win chancemodel fair 1.35Ivchenko
OI
🇺🇦Oleksandra Ivchenko
ELO 1584
FormLWLLL
26%
74%
🌟Bondareva stays under total as underdog 63% (46)
Fair odds · Ivchenko
Model 74% · 1.35vsMarket 78% · 1.28· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 53%Total ~75 pts
1-3
28%
0-3
25%
2-3
21%
3-2
12%
3-1
9%
Elo Gap+206
H2H46-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+206)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (46-11)