28 Jun · 21:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OI
🇺🇦Oleksandra Ivchenko
ELO 1584
FormLWLLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Gordeets
MG
🇺🇦Margarita Gordeets
ELO 1622
FormWLWLL
45%
55%
🌟Gordeets stays under total as favourite 66% (91)
Fair odds · Gordeets
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
20%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+38
H2H88-98
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.