28 Jun · 15:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AV
🇺🇦Anastasiia Volgina
ELO 1605
FormWWLWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Volgina
OI
🇺🇦Oleksandra Ivchenko
ELO 1584
FormLWLLL
53%
47%
🌟Volgina stays under total as favourite 63% (57)
Fair odds · Volgina
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+21
H2H110-121
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.