1 Jul · 08:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SY
🇺🇦Svitlana Yureneva
ELO 1542
FormLLLLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Yureneva
PP
🇺🇦Polina Pashchenko
ELO 1487
FormLWWLL
57%
43%
🌟Pashchenko goes over total as underdog 67% (12)
Fair odds · Yureneva
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
20%
2-3
17%
1-3
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+55
H2H5-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+55)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-2)