2 Jul · 08:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
NH
🇺🇦Nadiia Harmash
ELO 1297
FormWLLWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Harmash
AP
🇺🇦Anhelina Plashchynska
ELO 1237
FormLLLLL
58%
42%
Fair odds · Harmash
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~74 pts
3-1
21%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
15%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+60
H2H15-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+60)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-11)