3 Jul · 17:35 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OB
🇺🇦Olena Bondareva
ELO 1398
FormWWLWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Bondareva
YS
🇺🇦Yevheniia Severina
ELO 1396
FormLLLLW
50%
50%
🌟Bondareva stays under total as favourite 71% (14)
Fair odds · Bondareva
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 38% · 2.67· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-0
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+2
H2H7-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.